Enseval Putra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2420.0
| EPMT Stock | IDR 2,410 10.00 0.41% |
Enseval |
Enseval Putra Target Price Odds to finish over 2420.0
The tendency of Enseval Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 2,420 or more in 90 days |
| 2,410 | 90 days | 2,420 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Enseval Putra to move over 2,420 or more in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Enseval Putra Megatrading probability density function shows the probability of Enseval Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Enseval Putra Megatrading price to stay between its current price of 2,410 and 2,420 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Enseval Putra has a beta of 0.0095 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Enseval Putra average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Enseval Putra Megatrading will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Enseval Putra Megatrading has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Enseval Putra Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Enseval Putra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Enseval Putra Megatrading. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Enseval Putra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Enseval Putra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Enseval Putra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Enseval Putra Megatrading, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Enseval Putra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 26.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.28 |
Enseval Putra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Enseval Putra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Enseval Putra Megatrading can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Enseval Putra generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 93.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Enseval Putra Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Enseval Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Enseval Putra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enseval Putra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 T |
Enseval Putra Technical Analysis
Enseval Putra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Enseval Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Enseval Putra Megatrading. In general, you should focus on analyzing Enseval Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Enseval Putra Predictive Forecast Models
Enseval Putra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Enseval Putra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Enseval Putra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Enseval Putra Megatrading
Checking the ongoing alerts about Enseval Putra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Enseval Putra Megatrading help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Enseval Putra generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 93.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Enseval Stock
Enseval Putra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Enseval Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Enseval with respect to the benefits of owning Enseval Putra security.