Equinix (Brazil) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 83.98

EQIX34 Stock  BRL 73.83  0.04  0.05%   
Equinix's future price is the expected price of Equinix instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Equinix performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Equinix Backtesting, Equinix Valuation, Equinix Correlation, Equinix Hype Analysis, Equinix Volatility, Equinix History as well as Equinix Performance.
For information on how to trade Equinix Stock refer to our How to Trade Equinix Stock guide.
  
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Equinix Target Price Odds to finish over 83.98

The tendency of Equinix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over R$ 83.98  or more in 90 days
 73.83 90 days 83.98 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Equinix to move over R$ 83.98  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Equinix probability density function shows the probability of Equinix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Equinix price to stay between its current price of R$ 73.83  and R$ 83.98  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Equinix has a beta of 0.33 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Equinix average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Equinix will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Equinix has an alpha of 0.3726, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Equinix Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Equinix

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equinix. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
71.9073.8375.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
66.4582.0583.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.1079.0380.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63.7670.1376.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Equinix. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Equinix's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Equinix's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Equinix.

Equinix Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Equinix is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Equinix's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Equinix, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Equinix within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
4.00
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Equinix Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Equinix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Equinix's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equinix's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding90.6 M

Equinix Technical Analysis

Equinix's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Equinix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Equinix. In general, you should focus on analyzing Equinix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Equinix Predictive Forecast Models

Equinix's time-series forecasting models is one of many Equinix's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Equinix's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Equinix in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Equinix's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Equinix options trading.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Equinix Stock

When determining whether Equinix offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Equinix's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Equinix Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Equinix Stock:
Check out Equinix Backtesting, Equinix Valuation, Equinix Correlation, Equinix Hype Analysis, Equinix Volatility, Equinix History as well as Equinix Performance.
For information on how to trade Equinix Stock refer to our How to Trade Equinix Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Equinix's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Equinix is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Equinix's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.