Equinor Asa Adr Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.75

EQNR Stock  USD 23.63  0.18  0.76%   
Equinor ASA's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Equinor ASA ADR. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Equinor ASA based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Equinor ASA ADR over a specific time period. For example, EQNR Option Call 20-12-2024 23 is a CALL option contract on Equinor ASA's common stock with a strick price of 23.71 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-10 at 14:38:18 for $0.55 and, as of today, has 10 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.3, and an ask price of $0.5. The implied volatility as of the 11th of December 2024 is 10.0. View All Equinor options

Closest to current price Equinor long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Equinor ASA's future price is the expected price of Equinor ASA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Equinor ASA ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Equinor ASA Backtesting, Equinor ASA Valuation, Equinor ASA Correlation, Equinor ASA Hype Analysis, Equinor ASA Volatility, Equinor ASA History as well as Equinor ASA Performance.
  
At this time, Equinor ASA's Price To Sales Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/11/2024, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 3.80, though Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (0.13). Please specify Equinor ASA's target price for which you would like Equinor ASA odds to be computed.

Equinor ASA Target Price Odds to finish below 25.75

The tendency of Equinor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 25.75  after 90 days
 23.63 90 days 25.75 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Equinor ASA to stay under $ 25.75  after 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Equinor ASA ADR probability density function shows the probability of Equinor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Equinor ASA ADR price to stay between its current price of $ 23.63  and $ 25.75  at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.42 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Equinor ASA ADR has a beta of -0.5 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Equinor ASA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Equinor ASA ADR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Equinor ASA ADR has an alpha of 0.022, implying that it can generate a 0.022 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Equinor ASA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Equinor ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equinor ASA ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.5923.6325.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.2728.0430.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.3522.3924.43
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.7636.0039.96
Details

Equinor ASA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Equinor ASA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Equinor ASA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Equinor ASA ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Equinor ASA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.5
σ
Overall volatility
0.94
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Equinor ASA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Equinor ASA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Equinor ASA ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Equinor ASA ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 29th of November 2024 Equinor ASA paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Equinor, BP, TotalEnergies to move forward with U.K. carbon capture projects

Equinor ASA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Equinor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Equinor ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equinor ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments38.9 B

Equinor ASA Technical Analysis

Equinor ASA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Equinor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Equinor ASA ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Equinor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Equinor ASA Predictive Forecast Models

Equinor ASA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Equinor ASA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Equinor ASA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Equinor ASA ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about Equinor ASA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Equinor ASA ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Equinor ASA ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 29th of November 2024 Equinor ASA paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Equinor, BP, TotalEnergies to move forward with U.K. carbon capture projects

Additional Tools for Equinor Stock Analysis

When running Equinor ASA's price analysis, check to measure Equinor ASA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Equinor ASA is operating at the current time. Most of Equinor ASA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Equinor ASA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Equinor ASA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Equinor ASA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.