Equatorial Par (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.57
| EQPA3 Stock | BRL 5.73 0.08 1.42% |
Equatorial |
Equatorial Par Target Price Odds to finish below 4.57
The tendency of Equatorial Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 4.57 or more in 90 days |
| 5.73 | 90 days | 4.57 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Equatorial Par to drop to R$ 4.57 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Equatorial Par Distribuidora probability density function shows the probability of Equatorial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Equatorial Par Distr price to stay between R$ 4.57 and its current price of R$5.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Equatorial Par has a beta of 0.16 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Equatorial Par average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Equatorial Par Distribuidora will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Equatorial Par Distribuidora has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Equatorial Par Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Equatorial Par
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equatorial Par Distr. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Equatorial Par Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Equatorial Par is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Equatorial Par's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Equatorial Par Distribuidora, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Equatorial Par within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Equatorial Par Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Equatorial Par for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Equatorial Par Distr can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Equatorial Par Distr generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Equatorial Par Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Equatorial Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Equatorial Par's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equatorial Par's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Equatorial Par Technical Analysis
Equatorial Par's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Equatorial Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Equatorial Par Distribuidora. In general, you should focus on analyzing Equatorial Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Equatorial Par Predictive Forecast Models
Equatorial Par's time-series forecasting models is one of many Equatorial Par's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Equatorial Par's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Equatorial Par Distr
Checking the ongoing alerts about Equatorial Par for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Equatorial Par Distr help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Equatorial Par Distr generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Equatorial Stock Analysis
When running Equatorial Par's price analysis, check to measure Equatorial Par's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Equatorial Par is operating at the current time. Most of Equatorial Par's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Equatorial Par's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Equatorial Par's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Equatorial Par to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.