EQT AB (Sweden) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 297.35

EQT Stock  SEK 317.20  10.10  3.29%   
EQT AB's future price is the expected price of EQT AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of EQT AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out EQT AB Backtesting, EQT AB Valuation, EQT AB Correlation, EQT AB Hype Analysis, EQT AB Volatility, EQT AB History as well as EQT AB Performance.
  
Please specify EQT AB's target price for which you would like EQT AB odds to be computed.

EQT AB Target Price Odds to finish below 297.35

The tendency of EQT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 297.35  or more in 90 days
 317.20 90 days 297.35 
about 5.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EQT AB to drop to kr 297.35  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.89 (This EQT AB probability density function shows the probability of EQT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EQT AB price to stay between kr 297.35  and its current price of kr317.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.15 suggesting EQT AB market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, EQT AB is expected to follow. Additionally EQT AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   EQT AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for EQT AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EQT AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
315.40317.20319.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
229.76231.56348.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
311.35313.16314.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
284.81301.23317.66
Details

EQT AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EQT AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EQT AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EQT AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EQT AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.15
σ
Overall volatility
18.85
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

EQT AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EQT AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EQT AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EQT AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

EQT AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EQT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EQT AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EQT AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments645 M

EQT AB Technical Analysis

EQT AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EQT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EQT AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing EQT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

EQT AB Predictive Forecast Models

EQT AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many EQT AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EQT AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about EQT AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about EQT AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EQT AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
EQT AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for EQT Stock Analysis

When running EQT AB's price analysis, check to measure EQT AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EQT AB is operating at the current time. Most of EQT AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EQT AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EQT AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EQT AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.