Shelton E Value Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 15.57

EQTIX Fund  USD 18.11  0.07  0.39%   
Shelton Core's future price is the expected price of Shelton Core instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shelton E Value performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shelton Core Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Shelton Core Correlation, Shelton Core Hype Analysis, Shelton Core Volatility, Shelton Core History as well as Shelton Core Performance.
  
Please specify Shelton Core's target price for which you would like Shelton Core odds to be computed.

Shelton Core Target Price Odds to finish below 15.57

The tendency of SHELTON Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 15.57  or more in 90 days
 18.11 90 days 15.57 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shelton Core to drop to $ 15.57  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Shelton E Value probability density function shows the probability of SHELTON Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shelton E Value price to stay between $ 15.57  and its current price of $18.11 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Shelton Core has a beta of 0.66 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Shelton Core average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shelton E Value will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shelton E Value has an alpha of 0.0068, implying that it can generate a 0.006817 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shelton Core Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shelton Core

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shelton E Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5218.1118.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.3018.8919.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.5318.1218.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.3217.7718.21
Details

Shelton Core Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shelton Core is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shelton Core's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shelton E Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shelton Core within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Shelton Core Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shelton Core for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shelton E Value can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 9.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Shelton Core Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SHELTON Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shelton Core's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shelton Core's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Shelton Core Technical Analysis

Shelton Core's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SHELTON Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shelton E Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing SHELTON Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shelton Core Predictive Forecast Models

Shelton Core's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shelton Core's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shelton Core's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shelton E Value

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shelton Core for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shelton E Value help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 9.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in SHELTON Mutual Fund

Shelton Core financial ratios help investors to determine whether SHELTON Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SHELTON with respect to the benefits of owning Shelton Core security.
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope