European Residential Real Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.67
| ERE-UN Stock | CAD 3.67 0.06 1.66% |
European |
European Residential Target Price Odds to finish below 2.67
The tendency of European Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 2.67 or more in 90 days |
| 3.67 | 90 days | 2.67 | about 5.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of European Residential to drop to C$ 2.67 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.99 (This European Residential Real probability density function shows the probability of European Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of European Residential Real price to stay between C$ 2.67 and its current price of C$3.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon European Residential Real has a beta of -0.16 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding European Residential are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, European Residential Real is likely to outperform the market. Additionally European Residential Real has an alpha of 0.544, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). European Residential Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for European Residential
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as European Residential Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of European Residential's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
European Residential Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. European Residential is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the European Residential's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold European Residential Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of European Residential within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
European Residential Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of European Residential for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for European Residential Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| European Residential Real has accumulated 992.49 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.56, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. European Residential Real has a current ratio of 0.19, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist European Residential until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, European Residential's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like European Residential Real sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for European to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about European Residential's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 95.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (114.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 68.98 M. | |
| About 12.0% of European Residential shares are held by company insiders |
European Residential Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of European Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential European Residential's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. European Residential's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 233 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.9 M |
European Residential Technical Analysis
European Residential's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. European Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of European Residential Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing European Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
European Residential Predictive Forecast Models
European Residential's time-series forecasting models is one of many European Residential's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary European Residential's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about European Residential Real
Checking the ongoing alerts about European Residential for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for European Residential Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| European Residential Real has accumulated 992.49 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.56, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. European Residential Real has a current ratio of 0.19, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist European Residential until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, European Residential's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like European Residential Real sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for European to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about European Residential's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 95.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (114.23 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 68.98 M. | |
| About 12.0% of European Residential shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in European Stock
European Residential financial ratios help investors to determine whether European Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in European with respect to the benefits of owning European Residential security.