Erin Ventures Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.037

ERVFF Stock  USD 0.04  0.01  15.91%   
Erin Ventures' future price is the expected price of Erin Ventures instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Erin Ventures performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Erin Ventures Backtesting, Erin Ventures Valuation, Erin Ventures Correlation, Erin Ventures Hype Analysis, Erin Ventures Volatility, Erin Ventures History as well as Erin Ventures Performance.
  
Please specify Erin Ventures' target price for which you would like Erin Ventures odds to be computed.

Erin Ventures Target Price Odds to finish below 0.037

The tendency of Erin Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.04 
about 18.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Erin Ventures to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 18.42 (This Erin Ventures probability density function shows the probability of Erin Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.76 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Erin Ventures will likely underperform. Additionally Erin Ventures has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Erin Ventures Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Erin Ventures

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Erin Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.048.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.048.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00070.048.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.040.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Erin Ventures. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Erin Ventures' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Erin Ventures' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Erin Ventures.

Erin Ventures Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Erin Ventures is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Erin Ventures' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Erin Ventures, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Erin Ventures within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.76
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Erin Ventures Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Erin Ventures for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Erin Ventures can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Erin Ventures generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Erin Ventures has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Erin Ventures has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Erin Ventures has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Erin Ventures has accumulated 40 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Erin Ventures has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Erin Ventures until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Erin Ventures' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Erin Ventures sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Erin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Erin Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (1.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Erin Ventures has accumulated about 188.45 K in cash with (702.18 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Erin Ventures Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Erin Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Erin Ventures' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Erin Ventures' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding153.9 M

Erin Ventures Technical Analysis

Erin Ventures' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Erin Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Erin Ventures. In general, you should focus on analyzing Erin Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Erin Ventures Predictive Forecast Models

Erin Ventures' time-series forecasting models is one of many Erin Ventures' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Erin Ventures' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Erin Ventures

Checking the ongoing alerts about Erin Ventures for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Erin Ventures help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Erin Ventures generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Erin Ventures has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Erin Ventures has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Erin Ventures has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Erin Ventures has accumulated 40 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Erin Ventures has a current ratio of 0.33, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Erin Ventures until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Erin Ventures' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Erin Ventures sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Erin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Erin Ventures' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (1.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Erin Ventures has accumulated about 188.45 K in cash with (702.18 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in Erin Pink Sheet

Erin Ventures financial ratios help investors to determine whether Erin Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Erin with respect to the benefits of owning Erin Ventures security.