Erawan (Thailand) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.16
| ERW Stock | THB 4.08 0.04 0.97% |
Erawan |
Erawan Target Price Odds to finish over 4.16
The tendency of Erawan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 4.16 or more in 90 days |
| 4.08 | 90 days | 4.16 | about 38.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Erawan to move over 4.16 or more in 90 days from now is about 38.35 (This The Erawan Group probability density function shows the probability of Erawan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Erawan Group price to stay between its current price of 4.08 and 4.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon The Erawan Group has a beta of -0.35 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Erawan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, The Erawan Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The Erawan Group has an alpha of 0.2096, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Erawan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Erawan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Erawan Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Erawan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Erawan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Erawan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Erawan Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Erawan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Erawan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Erawan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Erawan Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Erawan Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Erawan Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Erawan Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The Erawan Group has accumulated 10.36 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 165.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Erawan Group has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Erawan until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Erawan's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Erawan Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Erawan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Erawan's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.05 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 252 M. | |
| The Erawan Group has accumulated about 1.39 B in cash with (633.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.55. | |
| Roughly 55.0% of Erawan shares are held by company insiders |
Erawan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Erawan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Erawan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Erawan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.5 B |
Erawan Technical Analysis
Erawan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Erawan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Erawan Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Erawan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Erawan Predictive Forecast Models
Erawan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Erawan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Erawan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Erawan Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Erawan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Erawan Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Erawan Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Erawan Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Erawan Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The Erawan Group has accumulated 10.36 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 165.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Erawan Group has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Erawan until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Erawan's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Erawan Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Erawan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Erawan's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.49 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.05 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 252 M. | |
| The Erawan Group has accumulated about 1.39 B in cash with (633.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.55. | |
| Roughly 55.0% of Erawan shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Erawan Stock
Erawan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Erawan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Erawan with respect to the benefits of owning Erawan security.