Escort Teknoloji (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 53.79
| ESCOM Stock | TRY 53.80 0.30 0.56% |
Escort |
Escort Teknoloji Target Price Odds to finish below 53.79
The tendency of Escort Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 53.79 or more in 90 days |
| 53.80 | 90 days | 53.79 | about 50.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Escort Teknoloji to drop to 53.79 or more in 90 days from now is about 50.16 (This Escort Teknoloji Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of Escort Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Escort Teknoloji Yatirim price to stay between 53.79 and its current price of 53.8 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Escort Teknoloji Yatirim has a beta of -0.37 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Escort Teknoloji are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Escort Teknoloji Yatirim is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Escort Teknoloji Yatirim has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Escort Teknoloji Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Escort Teknoloji
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Escort Teknoloji Yatirim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Escort Teknoloji Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Escort Teknoloji is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Escort Teknoloji's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Escort Teknoloji Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Escort Teknoloji within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Escort Teknoloji Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Escort Teknoloji for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Escort Teknoloji Yatirim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Escort Teknoloji generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Escort Teknoloji has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Escort Teknoloji Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Escort Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Escort Teknoloji's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Escort Teknoloji's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50 M |
Escort Teknoloji Technical Analysis
Escort Teknoloji's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Escort Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Escort Teknoloji Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Escort Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Escort Teknoloji Predictive Forecast Models
Escort Teknoloji's time-series forecasting models is one of many Escort Teknoloji's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Escort Teknoloji's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Escort Teknoloji Yatirim
Checking the ongoing alerts about Escort Teknoloji for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Escort Teknoloji Yatirim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Escort Teknoloji generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Escort Teknoloji has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Escort Stock
Escort Teknoloji financial ratios help investors to determine whether Escort Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Escort with respect to the benefits of owning Escort Teknoloji security.