Invesco European Small Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 15.27

ESMAX Fund  USD 15.67  0.04  0.25%   
Invesco European's future price is the expected price of Invesco European instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco European Small performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco European Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco European Correlation, Invesco European Hype Analysis, Invesco European Volatility, Invesco European History as well as Invesco European Performance.
  
Please specify Invesco European's target price for which you would like Invesco European odds to be computed.

Invesco European Target Price Odds to finish below 15.27

The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 15.27  or more in 90 days
 15.67 90 days 15.27 
roughly 2.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco European to drop to $ 15.27  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.7 (This Invesco European Small probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco European Small price to stay between $ 15.27  and its current price of $15.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.24 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco European has a beta of 0.0042 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Invesco European average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco European Small will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco European Small has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Invesco European Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco European

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco European Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9615.6716.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.4615.1715.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.2215.9316.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.2315.5515.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco European. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco European's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco European's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invesco European Small.

Invesco European Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco European is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco European's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco European Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco European within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Invesco European Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco European for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco European Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco European generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains about 8.05% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Invesco European Technical Analysis

Invesco European's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco European Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco European Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco European's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco European's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco European's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco European Small

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco European for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco European Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco European generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains about 8.05% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco European financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco European security.
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