Vaneck Video Gaming Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 82.88

ESPO Etf  USD 84.74  1.29  1.55%   
VanEck Video's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on VanEck Video Gaming. Implied volatility approximates the future value of VanEck Video based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in VanEck Video Gaming over a specific time period. For example, ESPO Option Call 20-12-2024 86 is a CALL option contract on VanEck Video's common stock with a strick price of 86.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-21 at 12:09:48 for $0.45 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 29th of November is 21.0. View All VanEck options

Closest to current price VanEck long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

VanEck Video's future price is the expected price of VanEck Video instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VanEck Video Gaming performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VanEck Video Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Video Correlation, VanEck Video Hype Analysis, VanEck Video Volatility, VanEck Video History as well as VanEck Video Performance.
  
Please specify VanEck Video's target price for which you would like VanEck Video odds to be computed.

VanEck Video Target Price Odds to finish below 82.88

The tendency of VanEck Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 82.88  or more in 90 days
 84.74 90 days 82.88 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VanEck Video to drop to $ 82.88  or more in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This VanEck Video Gaming probability density function shows the probability of VanEck Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VanEck Video Gaming price to stay between $ 82.88  and its current price of $84.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.77 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VanEck Video has a beta of 0.61 suggesting as returns on the market go up, VanEck Video average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VanEck Video Gaming will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VanEck Video Gaming has an alpha of 0.1813, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   VanEck Video Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VanEck Video

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Video Gaming. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
83.5684.8986.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.2789.9891.31
Details

VanEck Video Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VanEck Video is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VanEck Video's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VanEck Video Gaming, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VanEck Video within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.61
σ
Overall volatility
3.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

VanEck Video Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VanEck Video for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VanEck Video Gaming can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: How to Take Advantage of moves in - Stock Traders Daily
The fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

VanEck Video Technical Analysis

VanEck Video's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VanEck Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VanEck Video Gaming. In general, you should focus on analyzing VanEck Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VanEck Video Predictive Forecast Models

VanEck Video's time-series forecasting models is one of many VanEck Video's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VanEck Video's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VanEck Video Gaming

Checking the ongoing alerts about VanEck Video for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VanEck Video Gaming help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: How to Take Advantage of moves in - Stock Traders Daily
The fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether VanEck Video Gaming offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VanEck Video's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vaneck Video Gaming Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vaneck Video Gaming Etf:
Check out VanEck Video Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VanEck Video Correlation, VanEck Video Hype Analysis, VanEck Video Volatility, VanEck Video History as well as VanEck Video Performance.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
The market value of VanEck Video Gaming is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Video's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Video's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Video's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Video's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Video's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Video is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Video's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.