Eastern Star (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0

ESTAR Stock  THB 0.23  0.01  4.55%   
Eastern Star's future price is the expected price of Eastern Star instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eastern Star Real performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eastern Star Backtesting, Eastern Star Valuation, Eastern Star Correlation, Eastern Star Hype Analysis, Eastern Star Volatility, Eastern Star History as well as Eastern Star Performance.
  
Please specify Eastern Star's target price for which you would like Eastern Star odds to be computed.

Eastern Star Target Price Odds to finish below 0

The tendency of Eastern Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days
 0.23 90 days 0.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eastern Star to drop to  0.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Eastern Star Real probability density function shows the probability of Eastern Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eastern Star Real price to stay between  0.00  and its current price of 0.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Eastern Star Real has a beta of -0.34 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Eastern Star are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Eastern Star Real is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Eastern Star Real has an alpha of 0.2054, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Eastern Star Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eastern Star

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eastern Star Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.2361.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1561.65
Details

Eastern Star Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eastern Star is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eastern Star's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eastern Star Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eastern Star within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Eastern Star Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eastern Star for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eastern Star Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eastern Star Real is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Eastern Star Real has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Eastern Star Real appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Eastern Star Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eastern Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eastern Star's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eastern Star's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Eastern Star Technical Analysis

Eastern Star's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eastern Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eastern Star Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eastern Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eastern Star Predictive Forecast Models

Eastern Star's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eastern Star's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eastern Star's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eastern Star Real

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eastern Star for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eastern Star Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eastern Star Real is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Eastern Star Real has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Eastern Star Real appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Eastern Stock

Eastern Star financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eastern Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eastern with respect to the benefits of owning Eastern Star security.