National Bank (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.7

ETE Stock  EUR 7.74  0.01  0.13%   
National Bank's future price is the expected price of National Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of National Bank of performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out National Bank Backtesting, National Bank Valuation, National Bank Correlation, National Bank Hype Analysis, National Bank Volatility, National Bank History as well as National Bank Performance.
  
Please specify National Bank's target price for which you would like National Bank odds to be computed.

National Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 4.7

The tendency of National Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 4.70  in 90 days
 7.74 90 days 4.70 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of National Bank to stay above € 4.70  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This National Bank of probability density function shows the probability of National Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of National Bank price to stay between € 4.70  and its current price of €7.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.24 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon National Bank of has a beta of -0.0617 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding National Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, National Bank of is likely to outperform the market. Additionally National Bank of has an alpha of 0.0516, implying that it can generate a 0.0516 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   National Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for National Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.877.749.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.436.308.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.498.3610.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.787.357.93
Details

National Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. National Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the National Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold National Bank of, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of National Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

National Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of National Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for National Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
National Bank has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

National Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of National Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential National Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding914.7 M

National Bank Technical Analysis

National Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. National Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of National Bank of. In general, you should focus on analyzing National Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

National Bank Predictive Forecast Models

National Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many National Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary National Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about National Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about National Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for National Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
National Bank has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for National Stock Analysis

When running National Bank's price analysis, check to measure National Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Bank is operating at the current time. Most of National Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.