Beta WIG20TR (Poland) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 40.88
| ETFBW20TR | 41.85 0.13 0.31% |
Beta |
Beta WIG20TR Target Price Odds to finish over 40.88
The tendency of Beta Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 40.88 in 90 days |
| 41.85 | 90 days | 40.88 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Beta WIG20TR to stay above 40.88 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Beta WIG20TR Portfelowy probability density function shows the probability of Beta Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Beta WIG20TR Portfelowy price to stay between 40.88 and its current price of 41.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Beta WIG20TR has a beta of 0.38 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Beta WIG20TR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Beta WIG20TR Portfelowy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Beta WIG20TR Portfelowy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Beta WIG20TR Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Beta WIG20TR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beta WIG20TR Portfelowy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Beta WIG20TR's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Beta WIG20TR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Beta WIG20TR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Beta WIG20TR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Beta WIG20TR Portfelowy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Beta WIG20TR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Beta WIG20TR Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Beta WIG20TR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Beta WIG20TR Portfelowy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Beta WIG20TR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Beta WIG20TR Technical Analysis
Beta WIG20TR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Beta Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Beta WIG20TR Portfelowy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Beta Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Beta WIG20TR Predictive Forecast Models
Beta WIG20TR's time-series forecasting models is one of many Beta WIG20TR's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Beta WIG20TR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Beta WIG20TR Portfelowy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Beta WIG20TR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Beta WIG20TR Portfelowy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Beta WIG20TR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |