Eventide Multi Asset Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 14.64

ETNMX Fund  USD 15.03  0.06  0.40%   
Eventide Multi-asset's future price is the expected price of Eventide Multi-asset instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eventide Multi Asset Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eventide Multi-asset Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Eventide Multi-asset Correlation, Eventide Multi-asset Hype Analysis, Eventide Multi-asset Volatility, Eventide Multi-asset History as well as Eventide Multi-asset Performance.
  
Please specify Eventide Multi-asset's target price for which you would like Eventide Multi-asset odds to be computed.

Eventide Multi-asset Target Price Odds to finish below 14.64

The tendency of EVENTIDE Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 14.64  or more in 90 days
 15.03 90 days 14.64 
about 58.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eventide Multi-asset to drop to $ 14.64  or more in 90 days from now is about 58.7 (This Eventide Multi Asset Income probability density function shows the probability of EVENTIDE Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eventide Multi Asset price to stay between $ 14.64  and its current price of $15.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Eventide Multi-asset has a beta of 0.45 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Eventide Multi-asset average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Eventide Multi Asset Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Eventide Multi Asset Income has an alpha of 0.0097, implying that it can generate a 0.009705 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Eventide Multi-asset Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eventide Multi-asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eventide Multi Asset. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.6415.0915.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.5214.9715.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.6615.1115.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.9815.0615.14
Details

Eventide Multi-asset Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eventide Multi-asset is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eventide Multi-asset's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eventide Multi Asset Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eventide Multi-asset within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.45
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Eventide Multi-asset Technical Analysis

Eventide Multi-asset's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EVENTIDE Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eventide Multi Asset Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing EVENTIDE Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eventide Multi-asset Predictive Forecast Models

Eventide Multi-asset's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eventide Multi-asset's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eventide Multi-asset's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Eventide Multi-asset in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Eventide Multi-asset's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Eventide Multi-asset options trading.

Other Information on Investing in EVENTIDE Mutual Fund

Eventide Multi-asset financial ratios help investors to determine whether EVENTIDE Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EVENTIDE with respect to the benefits of owning Eventide Multi-asset security.
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets