IShares II (Netherlands) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 48.81

EUEA Etf  EUR 48.81  0.48  0.99%   
IShares II's future price is the expected price of IShares II instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of iShares II Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IShares II Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IShares II Correlation, IShares II Hype Analysis, IShares II Volatility, IShares II History as well as IShares II Performance.
  
Please specify IShares II's target price for which you would like IShares II odds to be computed.

IShares II Target Price Odds to finish over 48.81

The tendency of IShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 48.81 90 days 48.81 
about 77.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IShares II to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 77.34 (This iShares II Public probability density function shows the probability of IShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon IShares II has a beta of 0.018 suggesting as returns on the market go up, IShares II average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding iShares II Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IShares II Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   IShares II Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IShares II

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iShares II Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.8548.8149.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.0849.0450.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.0649.0249.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
47.8448.4248.99
Details

IShares II Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IShares II is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IShares II's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold iShares II Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IShares II within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

IShares II Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IShares II for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for iShares II Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
iShares II Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 99.64% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

IShares II Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IShares II's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IShares II's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day73.67k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month59.37k

IShares II Technical Analysis

IShares II's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of iShares II Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing IShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IShares II Predictive Forecast Models

IShares II's time-series forecasting models is one of many IShares II's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IShares II's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about iShares II Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about IShares II for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for iShares II Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
iShares II Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 99.64% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in IShares Etf

IShares II financial ratios help investors to determine whether IShares Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IShares with respect to the benefits of owning IShares II security.