Everland Investment (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6,656

EVG Stock   6,620  40.00  0.60%   
Everland Investment's future price is the expected price of Everland Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Everland Investment JSC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Everland Investment Backtesting, Everland Investment Valuation, Everland Investment Correlation, Everland Investment Hype Analysis, Everland Investment Volatility, Everland Investment History as well as Everland Investment Performance.
  
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Everland Investment Target Price Odds to finish over 6,656

The tendency of Everland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6,620 90 days 6,620 
about 44.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Everland Investment to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 44.83 (This Everland Investment JSC probability density function shows the probability of Everland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Everland Investment JSC has a beta of -0.13 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Everland Investment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Everland Investment JSC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Everland Investment JSC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Everland Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Everland Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Everland Investment JSC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,6186,6206,622
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,4985,5007,282
Details

Everland Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Everland Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Everland Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Everland Investment JSC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Everland Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0037
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
378.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Everland Investment Technical Analysis

Everland Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Everland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Everland Investment JSC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Everland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Everland Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Everland Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Everland Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Everland Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Everland Investment in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Everland Investment's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Everland Investment options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Everland Stock

Everland Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Everland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Everland with respect to the benefits of owning Everland Investment security.