Evaluator Growth Rms Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.61

EVGLX Fund  USD 12.23  0.08  0.66%   
Evaluator Growth's future price is the expected price of Evaluator Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Evaluator Growth Rms performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Evaluator Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Evaluator Growth Correlation, Evaluator Growth Hype Analysis, Evaluator Growth Volatility, Evaluator Growth History as well as Evaluator Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Evaluator Growth's target price for which you would like Evaluator Growth odds to be computed.

Evaluator Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 11.61

The tendency of Evaluator Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.61  or more in 90 days
 12.23 90 days 11.61 
about 5.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Evaluator Growth to drop to $ 11.61  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.53 (This Evaluator Growth Rms probability density function shows the probability of Evaluator Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Evaluator Growth Rms price to stay between $ 11.61  and its current price of $12.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.67 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Evaluator Growth has a beta of 0.54 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Evaluator Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Evaluator Growth Rms will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Evaluator Growth Rms has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Evaluator Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Evaluator Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Evaluator Growth Rms. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6112.1512.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5412.0812.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.4512.0012.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.8012.0512.29
Details

Evaluator Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Evaluator Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Evaluator Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Evaluator Growth Rms, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Evaluator Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0074
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.54
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Evaluator Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Evaluator Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Evaluator Growth Rms can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 6.08% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Evaluator Growth Technical Analysis

Evaluator Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Evaluator Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Evaluator Growth Rms. In general, you should focus on analyzing Evaluator Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Evaluator Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Evaluator Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Evaluator Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Evaluator Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Evaluator Growth Rms

Checking the ongoing alerts about Evaluator Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Evaluator Growth Rms help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 6.08% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Evaluator Mutual Fund

Evaluator Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Evaluator Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Evaluator with respect to the benefits of owning Evaluator Growth security.
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