Eaton Vance California Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.58

EVM Stock  USD 9.41  0.09  0.95%   
Eaton Vance's future price is the expected price of Eaton Vance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eaton Vance California performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eaton Vance Backtesting, Eaton Vance Valuation, Eaton Vance Correlation, Eaton Vance Hype Analysis, Eaton Vance Volatility, Eaton Vance History as well as Eaton Vance Performance.
  
At this time, Eaton Vance's Price To Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 15th of December 2024, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 37.80, while Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop 1.79. Please specify Eaton Vance's target price for which you would like Eaton Vance odds to be computed.

Eaton Vance Target Price Odds to finish over 10.58

The tendency of Eaton Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.58  or more in 90 days
 9.41 90 days 10.58 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eaton Vance to move over $ 10.58  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Eaton Vance California probability density function shows the probability of Eaton Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eaton Vance California price to stay between its current price of $ 9.41  and $ 10.58  at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.07 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Eaton Vance California has a beta of -0.0096 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Eaton Vance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Eaton Vance California is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Eaton Vance California has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Eaton Vance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eaton Vance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eaton Vance California. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eaton Vance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.939.419.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.929.409.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.889.379.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.159.409.65
Details

Eaton Vance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eaton Vance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eaton Vance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eaton Vance California, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eaton Vance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0096
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Eaton Vance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eaton Vance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eaton Vance California can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eaton Vance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Eaton Vance has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 29th of November 2024 Eaton Vance paid $ 0.0417 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Saba capital management increases stake in Eaton Vance California Municipal Bond Fund

Eaton Vance Technical Analysis

Eaton Vance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eaton Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eaton Vance California. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eaton Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eaton Vance Predictive Forecast Models

Eaton Vance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eaton Vance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eaton Vance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eaton Vance California

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eaton Vance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eaton Vance California help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eaton Vance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Eaton Vance has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 29th of November 2024 Eaton Vance paid $ 0.0417 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Saba capital management increases stake in Eaton Vance California Municipal Bond Fund
When determining whether Eaton Vance California is a strong investment it is important to analyze Eaton Vance's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Eaton Vance's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Eaton Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eaton Vance. If investors know Eaton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eaton Vance listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.145
Dividend Share
0.382
Earnings Share
0.33
Revenue Per Share
0.611
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
The market value of Eaton Vance California is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eaton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eaton Vance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eaton Vance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eaton Vance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eaton Vance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eaton Vance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eaton Vance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eaton Vance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.