Pesquera Exalmar (Peru) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.48
| EXALMC1 Stock | 2.50 0.00 0.00% |
Pesquera |
Pesquera Exalmar Target Price Odds to finish over 2.48
The tendency of Pesquera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 2.48 in 90 days |
| 2.50 | 90 days | 2.48 | nearly 4.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pesquera Exalmar to stay above 2.48 in 90 days from now is nearly 4.42 (This Pesquera Exalmar SAA probability density function shows the probability of Pesquera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pesquera Exalmar SAA price to stay between 2.48 and its current price of 2.5 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pesquera Exalmar has a beta of 0.0493 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Pesquera Exalmar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pesquera Exalmar SAA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pesquera Exalmar SAA has an alpha of 0.565, implying that it can generate a 0.56 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pesquera Exalmar Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Pesquera Exalmar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pesquera Exalmar SAA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pesquera Exalmar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pesquera Exalmar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pesquera Exalmar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pesquera Exalmar SAA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pesquera Exalmar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Pesquera Exalmar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pesquera Exalmar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pesquera Exalmar SAA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pesquera Exalmar SAA is not yet fully synchronised with the market data |
Pesquera Exalmar Technical Analysis
Pesquera Exalmar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pesquera Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pesquera Exalmar SAA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pesquera Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pesquera Exalmar Predictive Forecast Models
Pesquera Exalmar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pesquera Exalmar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pesquera Exalmar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pesquera Exalmar SAA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pesquera Exalmar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pesquera Exalmar SAA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pesquera Exalmar SAA is not yet fully synchronised with the market data |
Other Information on Investing in Pesquera Stock
Pesquera Exalmar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pesquera Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pesquera with respect to the benefits of owning Pesquera Exalmar security.