Exlservice Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.48

EXLS Stock  USD 46.57  0.28  0.60%   
ExlService Holdings' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on ExlService Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of ExlService Holdings based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in ExlService Holdings over a specific time period. For example, EXLS Option Call 20-12-2024 45 is a CALL option contract on ExlService Holdings' common stock with a strick price of 45.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-12-10 at 11:35:58 for $2.16 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.0. The implied volatility as of the 11th of December 2024 is 9.0. View All ExlService options

Closest to current price ExlService long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

ExlService Holdings' future price is the expected price of ExlService Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ExlService Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ExlService Holdings Backtesting, ExlService Holdings Valuation, ExlService Holdings Correlation, ExlService Holdings Hype Analysis, ExlService Holdings Volatility, ExlService Holdings History as well as ExlService Holdings Performance.
For more information on how to buy ExlService Stock please use our How to Invest in ExlService Holdings guide.
  
At this time, ExlService Holdings' Price Earnings Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is likely to gain to 6.06 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.58 in 2024. Please specify ExlService Holdings' target price for which you would like ExlService Holdings odds to be computed.

ExlService Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 27.48

The tendency of ExlService Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 27.48  or more in 90 days
 46.57 90 days 27.48 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ExlService Holdings to drop to $ 27.48  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ExlService Holdings probability density function shows the probability of ExlService Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ExlService Holdings price to stay between $ 27.48  and its current price of $46.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.47 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.1 suggesting ExlService Holdings market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ExlService Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally ExlService Holdings has an alpha of 0.2532, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ExlService Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ExlService Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ExlService Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.7146.1647.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.0243.4750.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
44.7646.2147.65
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.0335.2039.07
Details

ExlService Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ExlService Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ExlService Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ExlService Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ExlService Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.10
σ
Overall volatility
3.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

ExlService Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ExlService Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ExlService Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ExlService Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
ExlService Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: EXL named a Leader in ISG Provider Lens Generative AI Services

ExlService Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ExlService Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ExlService Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ExlService Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding168.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments290.8 M

ExlService Holdings Technical Analysis

ExlService Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ExlService Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ExlService Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing ExlService Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ExlService Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

ExlService Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many ExlService Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ExlService Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ExlService Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about ExlService Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ExlService Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ExlService Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
ExlService Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: EXL named a Leader in ISG Provider Lens Generative AI Services

Additional Tools for ExlService Stock Analysis

When running ExlService Holdings' price analysis, check to measure ExlService Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ExlService Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of ExlService Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ExlService Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ExlService Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ExlService Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.