E Xim (Poland) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 80.06

EXM Stock   162.00  0.00  0.00%   
E Xim's future price is the expected price of E Xim instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of E Xim IT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out E Xim Backtesting, E Xim Valuation, E Xim Correlation, E Xim Hype Analysis, E Xim Volatility, E Xim History as well as E Xim Performance.
  
Please specify E Xim's target price for which you would like E Xim odds to be computed.

E Xim Target Price Odds to finish below 80.06

The tendency of EXM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  80.06  or more in 90 days
 162.00 90 days 80.06 
nearly 4.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of E Xim to drop to  80.06  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.06 (This E Xim IT probability density function shows the probability of EXM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of E Xim IT price to stay between  80.06  and its current price of 162.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon E Xim has a beta of 0.25 suggesting as returns on the market go up, E Xim average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding E Xim IT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover E Xim IT has an alpha of 1.2703, implying that it can generate a 1.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   E Xim Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for E Xim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as E Xim IT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of E Xim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
155.85162.00168.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
112.50118.65178.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
190.57196.72202.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
109.87142.86175.85
Details

E Xim Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. E Xim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the E Xim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold E Xim IT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of E Xim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
26.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

E Xim Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of E Xim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for E Xim IT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
E Xim IT is way too risky over 90 days horizon
E Xim IT appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

E Xim Technical Analysis

E Xim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EXM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of E Xim IT. In general, you should focus on analyzing EXM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

E Xim Predictive Forecast Models

E Xim's time-series forecasting models is one of many E Xim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary E Xim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about E Xim IT

Checking the ongoing alerts about E Xim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for E Xim IT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
E Xim IT is way too risky over 90 days horizon
E Xim IT appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Additional Tools for EXM Stock Analysis

When running E Xim's price analysis, check to measure E Xim's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy E Xim is operating at the current time. Most of E Xim's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of E Xim's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move E Xim's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of E Xim to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.