Exemplar REITail (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.8
| EXP Stock | 1,100 50.00 4.35% |
Exemplar |
Exemplar REITail Target Price Odds to finish over 10.8
The tendency of Exemplar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 10.80 in 90 days |
| 1,100 | 90 days | 10.80 | about 82.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exemplar REITail to stay above 10.80 in 90 days from now is about 82.01 (This Exemplar REITail probability density function shows the probability of Exemplar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Exemplar REITail price to stay between 10.80 and its current price of 1100.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Exemplar REITail has a beta of -21.32 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Exemplar REITail are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Exemplar REITail is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Exemplar REITail has an alpha of 45.6495, implying that it can generate a 45.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Exemplar REITail Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Exemplar REITail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exemplar REITail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Exemplar REITail Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exemplar REITail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exemplar REITail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exemplar REITail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exemplar REITail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 45.65 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -21.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 542.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Exemplar REITail Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exemplar REITail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exemplar REITail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Exemplar REITail is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Exemplar REITail appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Exemplar REITail Technical Analysis
Exemplar REITail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Exemplar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exemplar REITail. In general, you should focus on analyzing Exemplar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Exemplar REITail Predictive Forecast Models
Exemplar REITail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Exemplar REITail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Exemplar REITail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Exemplar REITail
Checking the ongoing alerts about Exemplar REITail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Exemplar REITail help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.