Expeditors International Of Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 146.50

EXPD Stock  USD 146.50  5.94  4.23%   
Expeditors International's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Expeditors International of. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Expeditors International based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Expeditors International of over a specific time period. For example, EXPD260515C00145000 is a PUT option contract on Expeditors International's common stock with a strick price of 145.0 expiring on 2026-05-15. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 89 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $11.7, and an ask price of $12.8. The implied volatility as of the 15th of February 2026 is 89.0. View All Expeditors options

Closest to current price Expeditors long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Expeditors International's future price is the expected price of Expeditors International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Expeditors International of performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Expeditors International Analysis, Expeditors International Valuation, Expeditors International Correlation, Expeditors International Hype Analysis, Expeditors International Volatility, Expeditors International Price History as well as Expeditors International Performance.
At present, Expeditors International's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 25.26, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 4.12. Please specify Expeditors International's target price for which you would like Expeditors International odds to be computed.

Expeditors International Target Price Odds to finish over 146.50

The tendency of Expeditors Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 146.50 90 days 146.50 
about 76.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Expeditors International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 76.84 (This Expeditors International of probability density function shows the probability of Expeditors Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.28 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Expeditors International will likely underperform. Additionally Expeditors International of has an alpha of 0.0081, implying that it can generate a 0.008126 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Expeditors International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Expeditors International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Expeditors International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
144.29146.42148.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
142.55144.68146.81
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
127.82140.47155.92
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.231.381.59
Details

Expeditors International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Expeditors International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Expeditors International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Expeditors International of, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Expeditors International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.28
σ
Overall volatility
8.22
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Expeditors International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Expeditors International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Expeditors International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Expeditors International has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Tariff bill in U.S. states hits 200 billion as affordability and Trump head into midterms showdown

Expeditors International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Expeditors Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Expeditors International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Expeditors International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding141.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

Expeditors International Technical Analysis

Expeditors International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Expeditors Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Expeditors International of. In general, you should focus on analyzing Expeditors Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Expeditors International Predictive Forecast Models

Expeditors International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Expeditors International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Expeditors International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Expeditors International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Expeditors International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Expeditors International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Expeditors International has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Tariff bill in U.S. states hits 200 billion as affordability and Trump head into midterms showdown
When determining whether Expeditors International is a strong investment it is important to analyze Expeditors International's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Expeditors International's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Expeditors Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Will Air Freight & Logistics sector continue expanding? Could Expeditors diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Expeditors International. Projected growth potential of Expeditors fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Expeditors International data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.006
Dividend Share
1.5
Earnings Share
6.14
Revenue Per Share
81.459
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Expeditors International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Expeditors that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Expeditors International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Expeditors International's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Expeditors International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Expeditors International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Expeditors International's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Expeditors International should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Expeditors International's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.