Exp World Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.74
| EXPI Stock | USD 13.90 0.22 1.56% |
Closest to current price EXp long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
EXp |
EXp World Target Price Odds to finish below 14.74
The tendency of EXp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 14.74 after 90 days |
| 13.90 | 90 days | 14.74 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EXp World to stay under $ 14.74 after 90 days from now is under 95 (This eXp World Holdings probability density function shows the probability of EXp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of eXp World Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 13.90 and $ 14.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 suggesting eXp World Holdings market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, EXp World is expected to follow. Additionally EXp World Holdings has an alpha of 0.1788, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). EXp World Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for EXp World
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as eXp World Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EXp World Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EXp World is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EXp World's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold eXp World Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EXp World within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
EXp World Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EXp World for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for eXp World Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| eXp World Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.28 B. Net Loss for the year was (8.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 366.9 M. | |
| eXp World Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Disposition of 49881 shares by Glenn Sanford of EXp World at 13.8689 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
EXp World Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EXp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EXp World's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EXp World's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 153.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 126.9 M |
EXp World Technical Analysis
EXp World's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EXp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of eXp World Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing EXp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
EXp World Predictive Forecast Models
EXp World's time-series forecasting models is one of many EXp World's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EXp World's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about eXp World Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about EXp World for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for eXp World Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| eXp World Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.28 B. Net Loss for the year was (8.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 366.9 M. | |
| eXp World Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Disposition of 49881 shares by Glenn Sanford of EXp World at 13.8689 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out EXp World Backtesting, EXp World Valuation, EXp World Correlation, EXp World Hype Analysis, EXp World Volatility, EXp World History as well as EXp World Performance. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EXp World. If investors know EXp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EXp World listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.398 | Dividend Share 0.2 | Earnings Share (0.22) | Revenue Per Share 28.982 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.015 |
The market value of eXp World Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EXp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EXp World's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EXp World's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EXp World's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EXp World's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EXp World's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EXp World is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EXp World's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.