Almacenes Xito Sa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.01
| EXTO Stock | 3.85 0.08 2.04% |
Almacenes |
Almacenes Xito Target Price Odds to finish over 11.01
The tendency of Almacenes Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 11.01 or more in 90 days |
| 3.85 | 90 days | 11.01 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Almacenes Xito to move over 11.01 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Almacenes xito SA probability density function shows the probability of Almacenes Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Almacenes xito SA price to stay between its current price of 3.85 and 11.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.98 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Almacenes Xito has a beta of 0.25 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Almacenes Xito average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Almacenes xito SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Almacenes xito SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Almacenes Xito Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Almacenes Xito
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Almacenes xito SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Almacenes Xito's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Almacenes Xito Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Almacenes Xito is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Almacenes Xito's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Almacenes xito SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Almacenes Xito within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Almacenes Xito Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Almacenes Xito for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Almacenes xito SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Almacenes xito SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Almacenes xito SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Almacenes xito SA has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 16th of October 2024 Almacenes Xito paid 0.037 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Almacenes Exito S.A. American Depositary Share, each representing eight |
Almacenes Xito Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Almacenes Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Almacenes Xito's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Almacenes Xito's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 T |
Almacenes Xito Technical Analysis
Almacenes Xito's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Almacenes Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Almacenes xito SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Almacenes Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Almacenes Xito Predictive Forecast Models
Almacenes Xito's time-series forecasting models is one of many Almacenes Xito's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Almacenes Xito's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Almacenes xito SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Almacenes Xito for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Almacenes xito SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Almacenes xito SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Almacenes xito SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Almacenes xito SA has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 16th of October 2024 Almacenes Xito paid 0.037 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Almacenes Exito S.A. American Depositary Share, each representing eight |
Check out Almacenes Xito Backtesting, Almacenes Xito Valuation, Almacenes Xito Correlation, Almacenes Xito Hype Analysis, Almacenes Xito Volatility, Almacenes Xito History as well as Almacenes Xito Performance. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Almacenes Xito. If investors know Almacenes will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Almacenes Xito listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 0.04 | Revenue Per Share 128.8 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.0267 | Return On Equity 0.0263 |
The market value of Almacenes xito SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Almacenes that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Almacenes Xito's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Almacenes Xito's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Almacenes Xito's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Almacenes Xito's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Almacenes Xito's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Almacenes Xito is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Almacenes Xito's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.