Exor Nv Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 108.75

EXXRF Stock  USD 98.71  0.21  0.21%   
Exor NV's future price is the expected price of Exor NV instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Exor NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Exor NV Backtesting, Exor NV Valuation, Exor NV Correlation, Exor NV Hype Analysis, Exor NV Volatility, Exor NV History as well as Exor NV Performance.
  
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Exor NV Target Price Odds to finish below 108.75

The tendency of Exor Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 108.75  after 90 days
 98.71 90 days 108.75 
about 77.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exor NV to stay under $ 108.75  after 90 days from now is about 77.63 (This Exor NV probability density function shows the probability of Exor Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Exor NV price to stay between its current price of $ 98.71  and $ 108.75  at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.77 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Exor NV has a beta of -0.18 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Exor NV are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Exor NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Exor NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Exor NV Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Exor NV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exor NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.6398.7199.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.4591.53108.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.3497.4298.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.48103.16109.84
Details

Exor NV Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exor NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exor NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exor NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exor NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
3.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Exor NV Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exor NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exor NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Exor NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Exor NV Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exor Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exor NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exor NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding220.4 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Exor NV Technical Analysis

Exor NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Exor Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exor NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Exor Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Exor NV Predictive Forecast Models

Exor NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Exor NV's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Exor NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Exor NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Exor NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Exor NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Exor NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Exor Pink Sheet

Exor NV financial ratios help investors to determine whether Exor Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Exor with respect to the benefits of owning Exor NV security.