FMC (Brazil) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 160.65
| F1MC34 Stock | 176.30 0.10 0.06% |
FMC |
FMC Target Price Odds to finish below 160.65
The tendency of FMC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 160.65 or more in 90 days |
| 176.30 | 90 days | 160.65 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FMC to drop to 160.65 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This FMC Corporation probability density function shows the probability of FMC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FMC Corporation price to stay between 160.65 and its current price of 176.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FMC Corporation has a beta of -0.54. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FMC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FMC Corporation is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FMC Corporation has an alpha of 0.0386, implying that it can generate a 0.0386 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FMC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FMC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FMC Corporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FMC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FMC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FMC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FMC Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FMC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
FMC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FMC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FMC Corporation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FMC Corporation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
FMC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FMC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FMC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FMC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 125.7 M |
FMC Technical Analysis
FMC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FMC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FMC Corporation. In general, you should focus on analyzing FMC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FMC Predictive Forecast Models
FMC's time-series forecasting models is one of many FMC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FMC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FMC Corporation
Checking the ongoing alerts about FMC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FMC Corporation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FMC Corporation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in FMC Stock
When determining whether FMC Corporation offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of FMC's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fmc Corporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fmc Corporation Stock:Check out FMC Backtesting, FMC Valuation, FMC Correlation, FMC Hype Analysis, FMC Volatility, FMC History as well as FMC Performance. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.