Mineral Resources (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.54
| F5J Stock | EUR 20.47 0.25 1.24% |
Mineral |
Mineral Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 20.54
The tendency of Mineral Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 20.54 after 90 days |
| 20.47 | 90 days | 20.54 | about 19.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mineral Resources to stay under € 20.54 after 90 days from now is about 19.0 (This Mineral Resources Limited probability density function shows the probability of Mineral Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mineral Resources price to stay between its current price of € 20.47 and € 20.54 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mineral Resources has a beta of 0.71. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Mineral Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mineral Resources Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mineral Resources Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Mineral Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mineral Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mineral Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mineral Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mineral Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mineral Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mineral Resources Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mineral Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Mineral Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mineral Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mineral Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mineral Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mineral Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Mineral Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mineral Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mineral Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mineral Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 189.2 M |
Mineral Resources Technical Analysis
Mineral Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mineral Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mineral Resources Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mineral Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mineral Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Mineral Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mineral Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mineral Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mineral Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mineral Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mineral Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mineral Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mineral Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Mineral Stock
Mineral Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mineral Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mineral with respect to the benefits of owning Mineral Resources security.