Farmers Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 35.50

FABP Stock  USD 35.50  0.00  0.00%   
Farmers Bancorp's future price is the expected price of Farmers Bancorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Farmers Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Farmers Bancorp Backtesting, Farmers Bancorp Valuation, Farmers Bancorp Correlation, Farmers Bancorp Hype Analysis, Farmers Bancorp Volatility, Farmers Bancorp History as well as Farmers Bancorp Performance.
  
Please specify Farmers Bancorp's target price for which you would like Farmers Bancorp odds to be computed.

Farmers Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 35.50

The tendency of Farmers Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 35.50 90 days 35.50 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Farmers Bancorp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Farmers Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Farmers Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Farmers Bancorp has a beta of 0.29. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Farmers Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Farmers Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Farmers Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Farmers Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Farmers Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Farmers Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.3535.5036.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.9629.1139.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.6435.7936.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.1535.0435.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Farmers Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Farmers Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Farmers Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Farmers Bancorp.

Farmers Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Farmers Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Farmers Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Farmers Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Farmers Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
1.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Farmers Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Farmers Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Farmers Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Farmers Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Farmers Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Farmers Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farmers Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid2.5 M

Farmers Bancorp Technical Analysis

Farmers Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Farmers Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Farmers Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Farmers Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Farmers Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models

Farmers Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Farmers Bancorp's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Farmers Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Farmers Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Farmers Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Farmers Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Additional Tools for Farmers Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Farmers Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Farmers Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farmers Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Farmers Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farmers Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farmers Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farmers Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.