FalconStor Software Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.22
| FALCDelisted Stock | USD 1.50 0.04 2.60% |
FalconStor |
FalconStor Software Target Price Odds to finish over 1.22
The tendency of FalconStor Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.22 in 90 days |
| 1.50 | 90 days | 1.22 | about 54.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FalconStor Software to stay above $ 1.22 in 90 days from now is about 54.78 (This FalconStor Software probability density function shows the probability of FalconStor Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FalconStor Software price to stay between $ 1.22 and its current price of $1.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.91 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FalconStor Software has a beta of -2.27. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding FalconStor Software are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, FalconStor Software is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that FalconStor Software has an alpha of 2.1502, implying that it can generate a 2.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FalconStor Software Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FalconStor Software
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FalconStor Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FalconStor Software Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FalconStor Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FalconStor Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FalconStor Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FalconStor Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
FalconStor Software Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FalconStor Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FalconStor Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FalconStor Software is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| FalconStor Software may become a speculative penny stock | |
| FalconStor Software has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| FalconStor Software currently holds 2.15 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.44, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. FalconStor Software has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist FalconStor Software until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FalconStor Software's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FalconStor Software sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FalconStor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FalconStor Software's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| FalconStor Software currently holds about 1.81 M in cash with (883.53 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.25. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of FalconStor Software shares are owned by institutional investors |
FalconStor Software Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FalconStor Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FalconStor Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FalconStor Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.1 M |
FalconStor Software Technical Analysis
FalconStor Software's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FalconStor Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FalconStor Software. In general, you should focus on analyzing FalconStor Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FalconStor Software Predictive Forecast Models
FalconStor Software's time-series forecasting models is one of many FalconStor Software's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FalconStor Software's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FalconStor Software
Checking the ongoing alerts about FalconStor Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FalconStor Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FalconStor Software is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| FalconStor Software may become a speculative penny stock | |
| FalconStor Software has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| FalconStor Software currently holds 2.15 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.44, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. FalconStor Software has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist FalconStor Software until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FalconStor Software's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FalconStor Software sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FalconStor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FalconStor Software's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| FalconStor Software currently holds about 1.81 M in cash with (883.53 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.25. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of FalconStor Software shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Other Consideration for investing in FalconStor Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in FalconStor Software check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the FalconStor Software's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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