Fam Equity Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 58.06
| FAMEX Fund | USD 61.80 0.44 0.72% |
Fam |
Fam Equity-income Target Price Odds to finish below 58.06
The tendency of Fam Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 58.06 or more in 90 days |
| 61.80 | 90 days | 58.06 | about 1.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fam Equity-income to drop to $ 58.06 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.45 (This Fam Equity Income Fund probability density function shows the probability of Fam Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fam Equity Income price to stay between $ 58.06 and its current price of $61.8 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fam Equity-income has a beta of 0.83. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fam Equity-income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fam Equity Income Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fam Equity Income Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fam Equity-income Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fam Equity-income
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fam Equity Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fam Equity-income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fam Equity-income Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fam Equity-income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fam Equity-income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fam Equity Income Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fam Equity-income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Fam Equity-income Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fam Equity-income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fam Equity Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains about 5.22% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Fam Equity-income Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fam Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fam Equity-income's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fam Equity-income's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Fam Equity-income Technical Analysis
Fam Equity-income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fam Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fam Equity Income Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fam Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fam Equity-income Predictive Forecast Models
Fam Equity-income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fam Equity-income's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fam Equity-income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fam Equity Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fam Equity-income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fam Equity Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains about 5.22% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Fam Mutual Fund
Fam Equity-income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fam Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fam with respect to the benefits of owning Fam Equity-income security.
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