Foraco International Sa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.81
| FAR Stock | CAD 2.30 0.02 0.86% |
Foraco |
Foraco International Target Price Odds to finish below 2.81
The tendency of Foraco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under C$ 2.81 after 90 days |
| 2.30 | 90 days | 2.81 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Foraco International to stay under C$ 2.81 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Foraco International SA probability density function shows the probability of Foraco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Foraco International price to stay between its current price of C$ 2.30 and C$ 2.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Foraco International has a beta of 0.56. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Foraco International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Foraco International SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Foraco International SA has an alpha of 0.2226, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Foraco International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Foraco International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Foraco International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Foraco International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Foraco International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Foraco International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Foraco International SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Foraco International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Foraco International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Foraco International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Foraco International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Foraco International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Foraco International is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Foraco International has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Foraco International SA Delivered A Better ROE Than Its Industry - Yahoo Finance |
Foraco International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Foraco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Foraco International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Foraco International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.3 M |
Foraco International Technical Analysis
Foraco International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Foraco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Foraco International SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Foraco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Foraco International Predictive Forecast Models
Foraco International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Foraco International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Foraco International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Foraco International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Foraco International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Foraco International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Foraco International had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Foraco International is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Foraco International has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Foraco International SA Delivered A Better ROE Than Its Industry - Yahoo Finance |
Other Information on Investing in Foraco Stock
Foraco International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Foraco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Foraco with respect to the benefits of owning Foraco International security.