Fat Brands Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.39
| FATBW Stock | USD 3.18 0.18 6.00% |
FAT |
FAT Brands Target Price Odds to finish over 11.39
The tendency of FAT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.39 or more in 90 days |
| 3.18 | 90 days | 11.39 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FAT Brands to move over $ 11.39 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This FAT Brands probability density function shows the probability of FAT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FAT Brands price to stay between its current price of $ 3.18 and $ 11.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.01 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FAT Brands has a beta of 0.97. This usually indicates FAT Brands market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, FAT Brands is expected to follow. Additionally FAT Brands has an alpha of 0.3466, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FAT Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FAT Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FAT Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FAT Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FAT Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FAT Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FAT Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FAT Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
FAT Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FAT Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FAT Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FAT Brands is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| FAT Brands appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| FAT Brands has accumulated 1.38 B in total debt. FAT Brands has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about FAT Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 480.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (90.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| FAT Brands has accumulated about 4.63 M in cash with (35.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.39. | |
| FAT Brands has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 15318 shares by Mason Wiederhorn of FAT Brands at 10.68 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
FAT Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FAT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FAT Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FAT Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 37 M |
FAT Brands Technical Analysis
FAT Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FAT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FAT Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing FAT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FAT Brands Predictive Forecast Models
FAT Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many FAT Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FAT Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FAT Brands
Checking the ongoing alerts about FAT Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FAT Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FAT Brands is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| FAT Brands appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| FAT Brands has accumulated 1.38 B in total debt. FAT Brands has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about FAT Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 480.46 M. Net Loss for the year was (90.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| FAT Brands has accumulated about 4.63 M in cash with (35.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.39. | |
| FAT Brands has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 15318 shares by Mason Wiederhorn of FAT Brands at 10.68 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for FAT Stock Analysis
When running FAT Brands' price analysis, check to measure FAT Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FAT Brands is operating at the current time. Most of FAT Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FAT Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FAT Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FAT Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.