Frost Total Return Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.76

FATRX Fund  USD 9.84  0.03  0.31%   
Frost Total's future price is the expected price of Frost Total instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Frost Total Return performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Frost Total Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Frost Total Correlation, Frost Total Hype Analysis, Frost Total Volatility, Frost Total History as well as Frost Total Performance.
  
Please specify Frost Total's target price for which you would like Frost Total odds to be computed.

Frost Total Target Price Odds to finish below 9.76

The tendency of FROST Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.76  or more in 90 days
 9.84 90 days 9.76 
about 9.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Frost Total to drop to $ 9.76  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.69 (This Frost Total Return probability density function shows the probability of FROST Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Frost Total Return price to stay between $ 9.76  and its current price of $9.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.25 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Frost Total Return has a beta of -0.0518. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Frost Total are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Frost Total Return is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Frost Total Return has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Frost Total Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Frost Total

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frost Total Return. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.609.8410.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.379.619.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.629.8610.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.739.809.86
Details

Frost Total Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Frost Total is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Frost Total's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Frost Total Return, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Frost Total within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0092
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.59

Frost Total Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Frost Total for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Frost Total Return can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Frost Total Return generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains about 99.15% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Frost Total Technical Analysis

Frost Total's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FROST Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Frost Total Return. In general, you should focus on analyzing FROST Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Frost Total Predictive Forecast Models

Frost Total's time-series forecasting models is one of many Frost Total's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Frost Total's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Frost Total Return

Checking the ongoing alerts about Frost Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Frost Total Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Frost Total Return generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains about 99.15% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in FROST Mutual Fund

Frost Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether FROST Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FROST with respect to the benefits of owning Frost Total security.
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