FBC HOLDINGS (Zimbabwe) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1124.59
| FBC Stock | 1,240 40.00 3.33% |
FBC |
FBC HOLDINGS Target Price Odds to finish below 1124.59
The tendency of FBC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1,125 or more in 90 days |
| 1,240 | 90 days | 1,125 | about 84.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FBC HOLDINGS to drop to 1,125 or more in 90 days from now is about 84.01 (This FBC HOLDINGS LIMITED probability density function shows the probability of FBC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FBC HOLDINGS LIMITED price to stay between 1,125 and its current price of 1240.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.66 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FBC HOLDINGS will likely underperform. In addition to that FBC HOLDINGS LIMITED has an alpha of 2.1065, implying that it can generate a 2.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FBC HOLDINGS Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for FBC HOLDINGS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FBC HOLDINGS LIMITED. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FBC HOLDINGS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FBC HOLDINGS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FBC HOLDINGS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FBC HOLDINGS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FBC HOLDINGS LIMITED, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FBC HOLDINGS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 323.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.34 |
FBC HOLDINGS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FBC HOLDINGS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FBC HOLDINGS LIMITED can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FBC HOLDINGS LIMITED is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| FBC HOLDINGS LIMITED appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
FBC HOLDINGS Technical Analysis
FBC HOLDINGS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FBC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FBC HOLDINGS LIMITED. In general, you should focus on analyzing FBC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FBC HOLDINGS Predictive Forecast Models
FBC HOLDINGS's time-series forecasting models is one of many FBC HOLDINGS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FBC HOLDINGS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FBC HOLDINGS LIMITED
Checking the ongoing alerts about FBC HOLDINGS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FBC HOLDINGS LIMITED help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.