Fibrobiologics, Common Stock Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.38
| FBLG Stock | 2.25 0.22 10.84% |
FibroBiologics, |
FibroBiologics, Common Target Price Odds to finish over 22.38
The tendency of FibroBiologics, Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 22.38 or more in 90 days |
| 2.25 | 90 days | 22.38 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FibroBiologics, Common to move over 22.38 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This FibroBiologics, Common Stock probability density function shows the probability of FibroBiologics, Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FibroBiologics, Common price to stay between its current price of 2.25 and 22.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.88 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.11 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FibroBiologics, Common will likely underperform. Additionally FibroBiologics, Common Stock has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FibroBiologics, Common Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FibroBiologics, Common
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FibroBiologics, Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FibroBiologics, Common Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FibroBiologics, Common is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FibroBiologics, Common's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FibroBiologics, Common Stock, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FibroBiologics, Common within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 4.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
FibroBiologics, Common Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FibroBiologics, Common for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FibroBiologics, Common can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FibroBiologics, Common generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FibroBiologics, Common has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (16.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| FibroBiologics, Common generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| FibroBiologics, Common has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: FibroBiologics, Inc. Sees Large Increase in Short Interest |
FibroBiologics, Common Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FibroBiologics, Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FibroBiologics, Common's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FibroBiologics, Common's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.2 M |
FibroBiologics, Common Technical Analysis
FibroBiologics, Common's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FibroBiologics, Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FibroBiologics, Common Stock. In general, you should focus on analyzing FibroBiologics, Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FibroBiologics, Common Predictive Forecast Models
FibroBiologics, Common's time-series forecasting models is one of many FibroBiologics, Common's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FibroBiologics, Common's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FibroBiologics, Common
Checking the ongoing alerts about FibroBiologics, Common for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FibroBiologics, Common help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FibroBiologics, Common generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FibroBiologics, Common has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (16.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| FibroBiologics, Common generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| FibroBiologics, Common has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: FibroBiologics, Inc. Sees Large Increase in Short Interest |
Check out FibroBiologics, Common Backtesting, FibroBiologics, Common Valuation, FibroBiologics, Common Correlation, FibroBiologics, Common Hype Analysis, FibroBiologics, Common Volatility, FibroBiologics, Common History as well as FibroBiologics, Common Performance. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FibroBiologics, Common. If investors know FibroBiologics, will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FibroBiologics, Common listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.55) | Return On Assets (0.66) | Return On Equity (2.68) |
The market value of FibroBiologics, Common is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FibroBiologics, that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FibroBiologics, Common's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FibroBiologics, Common's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FibroBiologics, Common's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FibroBiologics, Common's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FibroBiologics, Common's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FibroBiologics, Common is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FibroBiologics, Common's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.