Multimedia Portfolio Multimedia Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 111.83

FBMPX Fund  USD 111.83  1.15  1.04%   
Multimedia Portfolio's future price is the expected price of Multimedia Portfolio instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Multimedia Portfolio Multimedia performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Multimedia Portfolio Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Multimedia Portfolio Correlation, Multimedia Portfolio Hype Analysis, Multimedia Portfolio Volatility, Multimedia Portfolio History as well as Multimedia Portfolio Performance.
  
Please specify Multimedia Portfolio's target price for which you would like Multimedia Portfolio odds to be computed.

Multimedia Portfolio Target Price Odds to finish over 111.83

The tendency of Multimedia Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 111.83 90 days 111.83 
about 8.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multimedia Portfolio to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.95 (This Multimedia Portfolio Multimedia probability density function shows the probability of Multimedia Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Multimedia Portfolio Multimedia has a beta of -0.16. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Multimedia Portfolio are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Multimedia Portfolio Multimedia is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Multimedia Portfolio Multimedia has an alpha of 0.1627, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Multimedia Portfolio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Multimedia Portfolio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multimedia Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
110.88111.83112.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
100.65114.46115.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
107.76108.70109.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
105.71110.08114.45
Details

Multimedia Portfolio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multimedia Portfolio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multimedia Portfolio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multimedia Portfolio Multimedia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multimedia Portfolio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
4.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Multimedia Portfolio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Multimedia Portfolio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Multimedia Portfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.95% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Multimedia Portfolio Technical Analysis

Multimedia Portfolio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multimedia Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multimedia Portfolio Multimedia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multimedia Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Multimedia Portfolio Predictive Forecast Models

Multimedia Portfolio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Multimedia Portfolio's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Multimedia Portfolio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Multimedia Portfolio

Checking the ongoing alerts about Multimedia Portfolio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Multimedia Portfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.95% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Multimedia Mutual Fund

Multimedia Portfolio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Multimedia Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Multimedia with respect to the benefits of owning Multimedia Portfolio security.
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