The Farmers Bank Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 21.87

FBPA Stock  USD 21.87  0.22  1.02%   
Farmers Bank's future price is the expected price of Farmers Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Farmers Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Farmers Bank Backtesting, Farmers Bank Valuation, Farmers Bank Correlation, Farmers Bank Hype Analysis, Farmers Bank Volatility, Farmers Bank History as well as Farmers Bank Performance.
  
Please specify Farmers Bank's target price for which you would like Farmers Bank odds to be computed.

Farmers Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 21.87

The tendency of Farmers OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.87 90 days 21.87 
about 88.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Farmers Bank to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.63 (This The Farmers Bank probability density function shows the probability of Farmers OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days The Farmers Bank has a beta of -0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Farmers Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, The Farmers Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The Farmers Bank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Farmers Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Farmers Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Farmers Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.9421.8722.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.8917.8224.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.8321.7622.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.4021.9422.48
Details

Farmers Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Farmers Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Farmers Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Farmers Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Farmers Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Farmers Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Farmers Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Farmers Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Farmers Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Farmers Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Farmers OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Farmers Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farmers Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 M

Farmers Bank Technical Analysis

Farmers Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Farmers OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Farmers Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Farmers OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Farmers Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Farmers Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Farmers Bank's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Farmers Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Farmers Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Farmers Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Farmers Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Farmers Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Farmers OTC Stock

Farmers Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Farmers OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Farmers with respect to the benefits of owning Farmers Bank security.