Franklin International Small Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.55
FCAPXDelisted Fund | USD 13.55 0.00 0.00% |
Franklin |
Franklin International Target Price Odds to finish below 13.55
The tendency of Franklin Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
13.55 | 90 days | 13.55 | about 82.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin International to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 82.81 (This Franklin International Small probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Franklin International Small has a beta of -0.0135. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Franklin International are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Franklin International Small is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Franklin International Small has an alpha of 0.1825, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Franklin International Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Franklin International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Franklin International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin International Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Franklin International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Franklin International is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
Franklin International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
Franklin International generated five year return of -5.0% | |
This fund retains about 7.52% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Franklin International Technical Analysis
Franklin International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin International Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Franklin International Predictive Forecast Models
Franklin International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Franklin International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Franklin International is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
Franklin International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
Franklin International generated five year return of -5.0% | |
This fund retains about 7.52% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Other Consideration for investing in Franklin Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in Franklin International check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Franklin International's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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