Franklin Balance Sheet Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 37.7

FCBSX Fund  USD 36.81  0.22  0.59%   
Franklin Balance's future price is the expected price of Franklin Balance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin Balance Sheet performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Franklin Balance Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin Balance Correlation, Franklin Balance Hype Analysis, Franklin Balance Volatility, Franklin Balance History as well as Franklin Balance Performance.
  
Please specify Franklin Balance's target price for which you would like Franklin Balance odds to be computed.

Franklin Balance Target Price Odds to finish below 37.7

The tendency of Franklin Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 37.70  after 90 days
 36.81 90 days 37.70 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin Balance to stay under $ 37.70  after 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Franklin Balance Sheet probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Franklin Balance Sheet price to stay between its current price of $ 36.81  and $ 37.70  at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Franklin Balance has a beta of 0.13. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Franklin Balance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Franklin Balance Sheet will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Franklin Balance Sheet has an alpha of 0.078, implying that it can generate a 0.078 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Franklin Balance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin Balance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Balance Sheet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin Balance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.0336.8137.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.9836.7637.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.5536.3337.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.0036.6438.29
Details

Franklin Balance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin Balance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin Balance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin Balance Sheet, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin Balance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Franklin Balance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin Balance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin Balance Sheet can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 96.4% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Franklin Balance Technical Analysis

Franklin Balance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin Balance Sheet. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin Balance Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin Balance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin Balance's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin Balance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin Balance Sheet

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin Balance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin Balance Sheet help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 96.4% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Mutual Fund

Franklin Balance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Balance security.
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