First Credit (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.78

FCIBL Stock   7.78  0.48  6.58%   
First Credit's future price is the expected price of First Credit instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of First Credit And performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out First Credit Backtesting, First Credit Valuation, First Credit Correlation, First Credit Hype Analysis, First Credit Volatility, First Credit History as well as First Credit Performance.
  
Please specify First Credit's target price for which you would like First Credit odds to be computed.

First Credit Target Price Odds to finish over 7.78

The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.78 90 days 7.78 
about 30.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Credit to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 30.52 (This First Credit And probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Credit has a beta of 0.32. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Credit average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Credit And will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Credit And has an alpha of 0.3596, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Credit Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Credit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Credit And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.037.7812.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.646.3911.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.977.7112.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.087.527.97
Details

First Credit Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Credit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Credit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Credit And, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Credit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

First Credit Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Credit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Credit And can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Credit And had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

First Credit Technical Analysis

First Credit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Credit And. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

First Credit Predictive Forecast Models

First Credit's time-series forecasting models is one of many First Credit's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First Credit's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about First Credit And

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Credit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First Credit And help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Credit And had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in First Stock

First Credit financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Credit security.