Ferm Casino (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1776.0
| FCMC Stock | EUR 1,480 30.00 2.07% |
Ferm |
Ferm Casino Target Price Odds to finish over 1776.0
The tendency of Ferm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 1,776 or more in 90 days |
| 1,480 | 90 days | 1,776 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ferm Casino to move over € 1,776 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ferm Casino Mun probability density function shows the probability of Ferm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ferm Casino Mun price to stay between its current price of € 1,480 and € 1,776 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ferm Casino Mun has a beta of -0.13. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ferm Casino are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ferm Casino Mun is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ferm Casino Mun has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ferm Casino Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ferm Casino
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ferm Casino Mun. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ferm Casino Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ferm Casino is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ferm Casino's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ferm Casino Mun, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ferm Casino within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0067 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 48.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Ferm Casino Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ferm Casino for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ferm Casino Mun can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ferm Casino Mun generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ferm Casino Mun has accumulated 48.46 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.3, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Ferm Casino Mun has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ferm Casino until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ferm Casino's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ferm Casino Mun sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ferm to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ferm Casino's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 94.0% of Ferm Casino shares are held by company insiders |
Ferm Casino Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ferm Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ferm Casino's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ferm Casino's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175.2 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 60.5 M |
Ferm Casino Technical Analysis
Ferm Casino's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ferm Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ferm Casino Mun. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ferm Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ferm Casino Predictive Forecast Models
Ferm Casino's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ferm Casino's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ferm Casino's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ferm Casino Mun
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ferm Casino for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ferm Casino Mun help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ferm Casino Mun generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ferm Casino Mun has accumulated 48.46 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.3, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Ferm Casino Mun has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ferm Casino until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ferm Casino's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ferm Casino Mun sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ferm to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ferm Casino's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 94.0% of Ferm Casino shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Ferm Stock
Ferm Casino financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ferm Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ferm with respect to the benefits of owning Ferm Casino security.