1st Colonial Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 18.47
| FCOB Stock | USD 14.70 0.10 0.68% |
1st |
1st Colonial Target Price Odds to finish over 18.47
The tendency of 1st Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 18.47 or more in 90 days |
| 14.70 | 90 days | 18.47 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 1st Colonial to move over $ 18.47 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This 1st Colonial Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of 1st Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 1st Colonial Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 14.70 and $ 18.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.3 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days 1st Colonial has a beta of 0.0756. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, 1st Colonial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding 1st Colonial Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 1st Colonial Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 1st Colonial Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 1st Colonial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1st Colonial Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.1st Colonial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 1st Colonial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 1st Colonial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 1st Colonial Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 1st Colonial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
1st Colonial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 1st Colonial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 1st Colonial Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 1st Colonial Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
1st Colonial Technical Analysis
1st Colonial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1st Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 1st Colonial Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1st Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
1st Colonial Predictive Forecast Models
1st Colonial's time-series forecasting models is one of many 1st Colonial's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 1st Colonial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about 1st Colonial Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about 1st Colonial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 1st Colonial Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| 1st Colonial Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in 1st Pink Sheet
1st Colonial financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1st Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1st with respect to the benefits of owning 1st Colonial security.