FDH BANK (Malawi) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 148.56
| FDHB Stock | 148.66 0.04 0.03% |
FDH |
FDH BANK Target Price Odds to finish over 148.56
The tendency of FDH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 148.56 in 90 days |
| 148.66 | 90 days | 148.56 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FDH BANK to stay above 148.56 in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This FDH BANK PLC probability density function shows the probability of FDH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FDH BANK PLC price to stay between 148.56 and its current price of 148.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FDH BANK has a beta of 0.0039. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FDH BANK average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FDH BANK PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FDH BANK PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FDH BANK Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for FDH BANK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FDH BANK PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FDH BANK Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FDH BANK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FDH BANK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FDH BANK PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FDH BANK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -1.89 |
FDH BANK Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FDH BANK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FDH BANK PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FDH BANK PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
FDH BANK Technical Analysis
FDH BANK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FDH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FDH BANK PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing FDH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FDH BANK Predictive Forecast Models
FDH BANK's time-series forecasting models is one of many FDH BANK's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FDH BANK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FDH BANK PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about FDH BANK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FDH BANK PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FDH BANK PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for FDH Stock Analysis
When running FDH BANK's price analysis, check to measure FDH BANK's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FDH BANK is operating at the current time. Most of FDH BANK's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FDH BANK's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FDH BANK's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FDH BANK to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.