La Franaise (Austria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 36.48

FDJ Stock  EUR 38.02  0.04  0.11%   
La Franaise's future price is the expected price of La Franaise instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of La Franaise des performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out La Franaise Backtesting, La Franaise Valuation, La Franaise Correlation, La Franaise Hype Analysis, La Franaise Volatility, La Franaise History as well as La Franaise Performance.
  
Please specify La Franaise's target price for which you would like La Franaise odds to be computed.

La Franaise Target Price Odds to finish below 36.48

The tendency of FDJ Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 36.48  or more in 90 days
 38.02 90 days 36.48 
about 20.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of La Franaise to drop to € 36.48  or more in 90 days from now is about 20.05 (This La Franaise des probability density function shows the probability of FDJ Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of La Franaise des price to stay between € 36.48  and its current price of €38.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon La Franaise des has a beta of -0.0765. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding La Franaise are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, La Franaise des is likely to outperform the market. Additionally La Franaise des has an alpha of 0.0733, implying that it can generate a 0.0733 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   La Franaise Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for La Franaise

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as La Franaise des. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.5338.0639.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.9330.4641.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.9536.4838.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.4738.5040.54
Details

La Franaise Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. La Franaise is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the La Franaise's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold La Franaise des, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of La Franaise within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
1.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

La Franaise Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of La Franaise for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for La Franaise des can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
La Franaise des has accumulated 476.5 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. La Franaise des has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist La Franaise until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, La Franaise's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like La Franaise des sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FDJ to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about La Franaise's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 47.0% of La Franaise shares are held by company insiders

La Franaise Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FDJ Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential La Franaise's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. La Franaise's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0313
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.24
Shares Float110.8 M

La Franaise Technical Analysis

La Franaise's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FDJ Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of La Franaise des. In general, you should focus on analyzing FDJ Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

La Franaise Predictive Forecast Models

La Franaise's time-series forecasting models is one of many La Franaise's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary La Franaise's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about La Franaise des

Checking the ongoing alerts about La Franaise for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for La Franaise des help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
La Franaise des has accumulated 476.5 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. La Franaise des has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist La Franaise until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, La Franaise's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like La Franaise des sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FDJ to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about La Franaise's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 47.0% of La Franaise shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in FDJ Stock

La Franaise financial ratios help investors to determine whether FDJ Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FDJ with respect to the benefits of owning La Franaise security.