Ford (Brazil) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 65.27
| FDMO34 Stock | BRL 67.10 1.30 1.98% |
Ford |
Ford Target Price Odds to finish below 65.27
The tendency of Ford Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 65.27 or more in 90 days |
| 67.10 | 90 days | 65.27 | over 95.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford to drop to R$ 65.27 or more in 90 days from now is over 95.46 (This Ford Motor probability density function shows the probability of Ford Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ford Motor price to stay between R$ 65.27 and its current price of R$67.1 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ford has a beta of 0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Ford average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ford Motor will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ford Motor has an alpha of 0.1216, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ford Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ford
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ford Motor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ford Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ford is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ford's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ford Motor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ford within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Ford Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ford for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ford Motor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ford Motor has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 158.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.98 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.21 B. |
Ford Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ford Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ford's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ford's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 B |
Ford Technical Analysis
Ford's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ford Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ford Motor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ford Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ford Predictive Forecast Models
Ford's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ford's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ford's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ford Motor
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ford for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ford Motor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ford Motor has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 158.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.98 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.21 B. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Ford Stock
When determining whether Ford Motor is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ford's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ford's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ford Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Ford Backtesting, Ford Valuation, Ford Correlation, Ford Hype Analysis, Ford Volatility, Ford History as well as Ford Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.