Feat Fund (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 128.68

FEAT Stock   129.50  3.70  2.78%   
Feat Fund's future price is the expected price of Feat Fund instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Feat Fund Investments performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Feat Fund Backtesting, Feat Fund Valuation, Feat Fund Correlation, Feat Fund Hype Analysis, Feat Fund Volatility, Feat Fund History as well as Feat Fund Performance.
  
Please specify Feat Fund's target price for which you would like Feat Fund odds to be computed.

Feat Fund Target Price Odds to finish below 128.68

The tendency of Feat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  128.68  or more in 90 days
 129.50 90 days 128.68 
about 49.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Feat Fund to drop to  128.68  or more in 90 days from now is about 49.11 (This Feat Fund Investments probability density function shows the probability of Feat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Feat Fund Investments price to stay between  128.68  and its current price of 129.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.18 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Feat Fund has a beta of 0.25. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Feat Fund average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Feat Fund Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Feat Fund Investments has an alpha of 0.0539, implying that it can generate a 0.0539 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Feat Fund Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Feat Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Feat Fund Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
128.68129.50130.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
128.38129.20130.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
121.30122.13122.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
127.15130.95134.76
Details

Feat Fund Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Feat Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Feat Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Feat Fund Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Feat Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
5.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Feat Fund Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Feat Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Feat Fund Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Feat Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Feat Fund Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Feat Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Feat Fund's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Feat Fund's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float1.8 M

Feat Fund Technical Analysis

Feat Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Feat Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Feat Fund Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Feat Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Feat Fund Predictive Forecast Models

Feat Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Feat Fund's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Feat Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Feat Fund Investments

Checking the ongoing alerts about Feat Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Feat Fund Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Feat Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Feat Stock

Feat Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Feat Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Feat with respect to the benefits of owning Feat Fund security.