Frontera Energy Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.11

FEC Stock  CAD 8.25  0.27  3.38%   
Frontera Energy's future price is the expected price of Frontera Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Frontera Energy Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Frontera Energy Backtesting, Frontera Energy Valuation, Frontera Energy Correlation, Frontera Energy Hype Analysis, Frontera Energy Volatility, Frontera Energy History as well as Frontera Energy Performance.
  
At this time, Frontera Energy's Price Earnings Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of November 2024, Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 1.37, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.30. Please specify Frontera Energy's target price for which you would like Frontera Energy odds to be computed.

Frontera Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 6.11

The tendency of Frontera Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 6.11  or more in 90 days
 8.25 90 days 6.11 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Frontera Energy to drop to C$ 6.11  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Frontera Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of Frontera Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Frontera Energy Corp price to stay between C$ 6.11  and its current price of C$8.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Frontera Energy has a beta of 0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Frontera Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Frontera Energy Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Frontera Energy Corp has an alpha of 0.0029, implying that it can generate a 0.002854 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Frontera Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Frontera Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frontera Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.088.2610.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.988.1610.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.208.3810.56
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Frontera Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Frontera Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Frontera Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Frontera Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Frontera Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Frontera Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Frontera Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Frontera Energy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Earnings call Frontera Energy posts 16.6M net income in Q3 2024 - Investing.com

Frontera Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Frontera Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Frontera Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Frontera Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding85.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments159.7 M

Frontera Energy Technical Analysis

Frontera Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Frontera Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Frontera Energy Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Frontera Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Frontera Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Frontera Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Frontera Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Frontera Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Frontera Energy Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Frontera Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Frontera Energy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Earnings call Frontera Energy posts 16.6M net income in Q3 2024 - Investing.com

Other Information on Investing in Frontera Stock

Frontera Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Frontera Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Frontera with respect to the benefits of owning Frontera Energy security.